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Making Mountains of Debt Out of Molehills: The Pro-Cyclical Implications of Tax and Expenditure Limitations

机译:摆脱债务困境:税收和支出限制的周期性影响

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摘要

This paper presents evidence that property tax limits have detrimental effects on state and local revenues during recessions. Property tax limits cause states to rely on income–elastic revenue sources, such as the income tax or charges and fees. Greater reliance on these revenue sources results in greater revenue declines during economic downturns. We present analysis of time–series, cross–sectional data for the U.S. states for each of these conclusions. Our results suggest that states would have fewer and more modest financial problems during economic downturns if they did not enact property tax limitations.
机译:本文提供的证据表明,在经济衰退期间,财产税限制会对州和地方税收产生不利影响。财产税限制导致各州依赖收入弹性收入来源,例如所得税或费用。在经济下滑期间,对这些收入来源的更多依赖会导致更大的收入下降。对于每个结论,我们都会提供美国各州的时间序列,横截面数据分析。我们的结果表明,如果各州不制定财产税限制,则在经济不景气期间将出现越来越少的温和金融问题。

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